Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.013249 0.015367 0.017704 0.020471 0.023658 0.027212 0.031474
2026-02-01 0.009925 0.012619 0.015861 0.020045 0.025295 0.031662 0.039966
2026-02-08 0.007796 0.010733 0.014542 0.019833 0.026980 0.036288 0.049323
2026-02-15 0.006191 0.009145 0.013240 0.019310 0.028056 0.040180 0.058245
2026-02-22 0.005379 0.008458 0.012984 0.020087 0.030921 0.046784 0.071734
2026-03-01 0.004552 0.007578 0.012271 0.020031 0.032493 0.051666 0.083333
2026-03-08 0.003761 0.006603 0.011234 0.019270 0.032804 0.054596 0.092241
2026-03-15 0.003237 0.005969 0.010628 0.019081 0.033949 0.058906 0.103821
2026-03-22 0.002999 0.005782 0.010733 0.020085 0.037200 0.067032 0.122749
2026-03-29 0.002726 0.005485 0.010590 0.020610 0.039649 0.074037 0.140545
2026-04-05 0.002355 0.004940 0.009912 0.020038 0.039990 0.077291 0.151904
2026-04-12 0.002084 0.004547 0.009459 0.019823 0.040954 0.081757 0.166006
2026-04-19 0.001811 0.004112 0.008874 0.019284 0.041251 0.085073 0.178475
2026-04-26 0.001593 0.003759 0.008404 0.018912 0.041835 0.089017 0.192698
2026-05-03 0.001421 0.003479 0.008048 0.018728 0.042778 0.093784 0.209183
2026-05-10 0.001249 0.003172 0.007586 0.018241 0.042993 0.097042 0.222849
2026-05-17 0.001182 0.003106 0.007659 0.018981 0.046043 0.106742 0.251753
2026-05-24 0.001072 0.002914 0.007411 0.018930 0.047262 0.112528 0.272549
2026-05-31 0.000938 0.002637 0.006917 0.018211 0.046794 0.114421 0.284581
2026-06-07 0.000848 0.002464 0.006655 0.018032 0.047617 0.119406 0.304515
2026-06-14 0.000822 0.002459 0.006824 0.018983 0.051393 0.131875 0.344086
2026-06-21 0.000776 0.002393 0.006822 0.019480 0.054067 0.141950 0.378882
2026-06-28 0.000693 0.002202 0.006455 0.018939 0.053930 0.144974 0.396109